Friday, February 17, 2006

No More '08 Polls!

February 17, 2006
By Jay Cost
Sometimes, I think this new 24-hour news cycle creates more problems than it solves. Case in point: last week’s FOX News poll on the 2008 presidential elections. Not content to inquire about any of the 504 elections we will have in 9 months, FOX preferred to ask about the one in 33 months...
...However, Gallup got in the act yesterday, producing its own 2008 poll for CNN and USA Today. With the gold standard in public opinion on this bandwagon, this much has become clear: we have to nip this nonsense in the bud.

So, here it is. No poll about the next presidential election is worth your attention until Summer, 2007 at the earliest. The reason for this is that their predictive power is literally nil...
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